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Fall 2001

Modeling Long-Term Health and Environmental Risk at the Nevada Test Site

John Tauxe
Neptune and Company
Los Alamos, New Mexico USA

GoldSim modelers at Neptune and Company have devised a variety of models to aid in environmental decision making (see www.neptuneandco.com/goldsim). One such model is a contaminant transport and regulatory compliance model of a radioactive waste disposal site at the Nevada Test Site (NTS), near Mercury, northwest of Las Vegas, Nevada. In addition to the classical waterborne transport of radionuclides, Neptune's model includes transport of subsurface materials to the ground surface by burrowing animals (of widely divergent taxa), and the transport of contamination to the surface by plants. Since the desert at the NTS is so dry, biotic transport mechanisms are likely to play a critical role in the movement of contaminants from waste forms at depth to the accessible environment. The GCD wastes are deeply buried (21 to 36 m below the ground surface), and contaminants are hypothesized to move upward from that depth to near the ground surface in water, advecting with and diffusing within a small amount of interstitial water. The upward flux is inferred from the observed strong gradient of interstitial water potentials from depth to the ground surface. Once the contaminants are within reach of plant roots and burrowing animals, they can be brought to the surface and pose a potential threat to human health through exposure to surface soils. The modeled subsurface consists of a vertically-oriented cylinder of waste and alluvial overburden nested inside another cylinder of surrounding alluvium.

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Both the interior cylinder and the annular ring are subdivided into several cells, in order to model contaminant transport by advection of water, diffusion in the water phase, advection of alluvium by burrowing animals, and plant-induced transport.

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Contamination brought to the surface by plants is modeled not by moving any contaminated medium, but rather by the simple addition to surface cells (and complementary subtraction from subsurface cells) of predetermined amounts of each contaminant. This transfer of contamination is implemented using a GoldSim Consequence element, once the appropriate amounts of contamination have been calculated based on plant uptake factors and productivity rates. Neptune and Company anticipates adding to this model various dose assessment methodologies, corresponding to different regulatory drivers, based on surface soil and water contaminant concentrations. The model is a management system tool that will support effective long-term management of the NTS low-level radioactive waste disposal facilities.

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